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Syria

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ProfilePosted byOptionsPost Date

JustJohn

JustJohn Report 24 Aug 2013 17:53

Rollo. Totally my understanding too. Hate to criticise views of OFG as they are always held so firmly.

Once Assad has gone, I do not share your view that it will be a horrible country for 20 years. Things can change very quickly. I just wish that the United Nations was more powerful than Russia, USA and China and could resolve these situations.

RolloTheRed

RolloTheRed Report 24 Aug 2013 16:50

OFITG is quite wrong most of these disputes go back centuries long before the brief century of European colonialism. That is especially true of Syria.

The main reason that the west does not make any intervention eg: Cruise missiles to rattle Assad's cage, no fly zone is because Russia has made its naval base at Tartus and the Alawite mini colony around Latakia "red line" issues. The USA and EU have bigger fish to fry i.e. Iran's nuclear weapon establishment.

Sorting this out will be a whole lot easier with Russian support or at least no veto. Using western air power to make mincemeat out of what is supposed to be an "advanced" SAM air defense system would just make Russia look silly and not help the US much at all either with Iran or the withdrawal from Afghanistan.

And so a downtrodden majority go on suffering at the hands of the Ba'athists so that an ever greater evil can be stopped.

All the same Assad has really pushed his luck and a repeat will for sure result in a limited attack probably by Cruise missiles as the US/UK have plenty in the area.

I am not aware of any aggression / suppression which has been sorted out by negotiation rather than force of arms but maybe OFITG can enlighten us.

During the 20 years of relative peace in the Middle East ( only one war, Lebanon ) I drove across Syria from Aleppo to Kuwait and was based for some while in Beirut. Aleppo was a really wonderful place with a large ancient souk full of all kinds of eastern merchandise and many of the old Turkish merchant houses and depots. It has been almost destroyed along with the multi ethnic society where everybody just got on.

It is a many sided tragedy which many saw coming, just like Yugoslavia, and nobody tried to stop.

Assad's regime will eventually collapse as its only serious source of money are the oil fields currently in opposition hands. He is being bank rolled by the Russians.

The chances of a happy united Syria in the next 20 years or so are nil. If it is lucky it will end up the same sort of fractured mess as Iraq. If it is not lucky it will end up like Lebanon in the 1980s dragging that country back into turmoil as well for good measure.

:-(

lilybids

lilybids Report 24 Aug 2013 16:21

I agree with OFiTG :-)

OneFootInTheGrave

OneFootInTheGrave Report 24 Aug 2013 16:05

When I look at the ongoing problems in Iraq, Libya, Egypt, Afghanistan, North & South Korea, Zimbabwe, Nigeria, Yemen, the border areas between India & Pakistan, Israel & Palestine, and Cyprus, to name but a few - I cannot help but think that the interference from the so called Western Nations, over many decades, solely to protect their own self interests, leaves much to be desired :-(

If past interference is anything to go by what hope is there for a solution to the Syrian crisis without further atrocities taking place :-(

Putting my cynics hat on - getting involved in a conflict does allow the Western Powers to create a distraction from problems they have on their own soil ;-)

JustJohn

JustJohn Report 24 Aug 2013 15:47

I find it so difficult to keep my nose out when we have seen the harrowing photos this week. Most of us are old people who have had a life. These are innocent children with all the hopes and aspirations of a good life and a better world. Snuffed out in an instant - for what purpose?

It is cold blooded murder and the murderers need to quickly be brought to account.

lilybids

lilybids Report 24 Aug 2013 15:41

I don't know the politics of it either
but do think we should keep our nose out of it,thats my opinion

Dermot

Dermot Report 24 Aug 2013 14:41

Did not the USA use chemicals in Vietnam, wiping out people plus their food crops?

'Emma'

'Emma' Report 24 Aug 2013 13:07

I agree Ann. Trouble spots in the world are distressing
and it's happening all over and suppose it always will.
Like OFITG I don't know who is responsible but fear
the worst outcome.

Emma

AnninGlos

AnninGlos Report 24 Aug 2013 12:54

I too find it very distressing that the children are being targetted. One little boy broke my heart when he ran sobbing, I am sure he was too little to understand, the close up of his distressed face was too awful.

I don't understand the politics fully either, it seesm six of one and half dozen of the other. I don't know which side is right. I only see that the children are suffering and being taught to hate. There can't be a happy ending I'm sure.

'Emma'

'Emma' Report 24 Aug 2013 12:46

Will the UN be able to get anywhere,
that's if they are allowed.

OneFootInTheGrave

OneFootInTheGrave Report 24 Aug 2013 12:19

I found many of the events in Syria very chilling and disturbing - especially those involving children.

There are so many conflicting reports, so I do not know if it was the Syrian forces or the rebels that were responsible for this latest atrocity, but no matter who it was, the mass slaughter of people, especially children, is abhorrent, unforgivable, and totally unacceptable.

Alas, I think the situation will worsen as I fear the way Obama in the USA, Hollande in France, plus Cameron & Hague here in the UK - are talking, that we may be drawn into another Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, scenario.

Dermot

Dermot Report 24 Aug 2013 11:31

No - it isn't easy to follow those awful occurrences.

I sometimes wonder why killing by gas, etc is considered more terrible than drones dropping 'conventional' bombs ad hoc.

'Emma'

'Emma' Report 24 Aug 2013 11:24

Do not profess to understand the politics and the mind set
of people in power.
It beggars belief how people can inflict pain and death on the
most vulnerable in their countries.
I find the situation in Syria very distressing and the deaths of the
children really upsetting.
The news reports are very graphic and other countries do not seem
to be in any hurry to help them and more people are dying a terrible
death.
Am I naive in my understanding of the situation.

Emma